The polls don't lie but liars poll
Well the credibility of Scripps Howard just went down the tubes. And when things don't make sense, just follow the money. Who paid Scripps Howard not to report the results on WorldPeace in their latest poll? Sanchez, that's who.
In the last two polls in May and in September, Scripps Howard asked the question about a WorldPeace Perry match up as well as a Akins Perry match up in addition to the Sanchez Perry match up. And in the September poll WorldPeace was 17 percent to Perry 53 percent. Now Scripps Howard did not see fit to ask the WorldPeace Perry question. Why?
At the time of the September poll, Marty Akins was still in the race and Akins and Sanchez were getting 90% of the press with WorldPeace left out of the articles in the big five papers (Houston, Austin, Ft. Worth, Dallas and San Antonio). WorldPeace did not begin to get press until August 25, 2001 after the Coalition of Black Democrats forum in Austin where many of the press attended and saw WorldPeace for the first time.
Also up until August, WorldPeace was only telephoning in the Houston area with just one pass through Austin and a little calling into Dallas. Now WorldPeace has telephoned significantly in Austin, San Antonio and Dallas as well as the much of the rest of the state.
In the latest poll, both Perry and Sanchez dropped 5 percent from the prior polls. Perry interestingly has been steadily sliding in every poll. When you consider that those polled were 36/25 Republican/Democrat you have to shave about a third off of Perry or add a third to Sanchez in the latest poll. (It is questionable that the state is skewed overall 36/25 Republican/Democrat)
The question is why would the support drop for both Perry and Sanchez. It does not take a rocket scientist to figure out that there is another factor impacting the voters. I think we all know that factor is WorldPeace. The WorldPeace telephone campaign against Sanchez and Perry is undeniably working.
The real numbers per WorldPeace's poll, which are run about every thirty days and consist of about 50 thousand citizens statewide, show a Perry WorldPeace matchup at 45/45; virtually a dead heat. No question has been asked regarding Sanchez and WorldPeace because as the citizens focus on the governor's race and as I continue to make 100 thousand calls per day telling the people that Sanchez is a mafia crook, Republican and draft dodger, etc. his percentages will continue to drop. His dilemma is that he will have to deny my allegations which he cannot because they are true.
Also, interesting in these polls is that the support from Hispanics for Sanchez and Perry is about the same but what is more significant is that Sanchez and Perry together got 78 percent of the Hispanic vote in the September poll and only 56 percent in the current poll. Now why is that? What caused 20% of the Hispanics to go undecided. We know the answer is WorldPeace.
And for that matter what made 10 percent of the overall populace go 10% undecided in a Perry Sanchez matchup?. We know the answer is again WorldPeace.
There are several things to be gleaned from this latest poll. 1) Scripps Howard was paid not to take a poll regarding WorldPeace even though he is better known now than at the time of the last two polls or they threw out the results because they did not believe that WorldPeace was only a few percent behind Perry; due mostly to their polling more Republicans than Democrats. 2) Perry and Sanchez are carrying about the same percentage of Hispanic voters which means the Democratic Party's theory that if Sanchez leads the ticket in November, more votes would go Democratic. Since this is not true, why promote Sanchez as governor, not to mention his corruption. 3) WorldPeace is ahead of Sanchez. Way ahead. Sanchez dropped 5 percent since September down to within one percent of where WorldPeace was against Perry in September. Nothing negative has come out against WorldPeace and in fact his exposure in the press and the number of calls made has significantly increased. All those people did not go into the undecided column, they went to WorldPeace.
If Scripps Howard had reported the truth in the polls, that WorldPeace has an almost two to one stronger showing against Perry than Sanchez, Sanchez would be finished. So Scripps Howard sold out. Don't you think Sanchez with all his money knew what the numbers were before Scripps ran the poll? Don't you think they paid Scripps not to ask the question that everyone wants to know; How is WorldPeace doing in the polls? Or they paid Scripps not to report the WorldPeace numbers.
No one is going to credibly explain why Scripps did not poll regarding WorldPeace when WorldPeace polled significantly in the last two polls.
The Democratic Party is on its death bed. Powerful popular Democrats are not running for re-election and Laney will probably not be Speaker of the House. For the first time in 125 years a Democrat will not be Speaker.
Dewhurst is leading John Sharp 39 to 22 percent. That's a huge margin but remember at the end of the last primaries, Sharp had a 14 point lead over Perry but went on to lose the Lt. Governor's race by 3 points. It looks like Sharp is carrying some negative baggage from his match up with Perry. Not to forget that Dewhurst is a multi-millionaire and will spend whatever it takes to win. Sharp cannot match the money.
The Democrats had better get their act together now and dump the corrupt Sanchez or the November 2002 fallout is going to be the death of the Party.
WorldPeace is going to be the next governor of Texas and nearly everyone will see that before Christmas. Unfortunately, it looks like the House and the Senate and all the other major statewide offices are going to be Republican. I still believe Bentsen will win the Senate race.
With terrorism an ongoing issue in the press, WorldPeace is going to be a big factor in the primaries and the general election.
Here are the comparisons with the Scripps Howard polls:
May 1 Sept 1 Nov 26
Perry 55 52 48
Sanchez 17 23 18
Perry 56 52 Out of race
Akins 15 19
Perry 56 53 Scripps paid by
WorldPeace 13 17 Sanchez not to report
The WorldPeace damn is about to burst. The WorldPeace train will be here before Christmas and no one will be able to deny it.
The next governor of Texas
December 8, 2001
Below are three articles regarding the three Scripps polls.
Dec. 8, 2001, 12:49AM
Poll: Victory in governor's race seems likely for Perry
Leads opponent now, but could be vulnerable later
By R.G. RATCLIFFE
Copyright 2001 Houston Chronicle Austin Bureau
AUSTIN -- A new Texas poll shows Republican Gov. Rick Perry is well positioned to win election next year, but could be vulnerable to a Democratic attack.
Perry was elevated from lieutenant governor to governor last year when then-Gov. George W. Bush was elected president.
A victory in the 2002 election would be the first time Perry has been elected as governor.
Perry's job approval rating has climbed steadily in the poll since he took office and now stands at 67 percent -- 20 percentage points higher than it was in February.
When matched up against his likely Democratic opponent -- Laredo businessman Tony Sanchez -- Perry holds a 48 percent to 18 percent lead.
While that would be a commanding lead if the election were today, it also could be a sign of trouble for Perry.
Former Gov. Ann Richards drew a similar disconnect between job approval and re-election numbers going into her 1994 re-election campaign.
Richards' personal popularity and job approval numbers were extraordinarily high. She also led against Bush in those early polls, but with less than 50 percent support, and she lost to him that November.
Perry's re-election support was above 50 percent in two previous Scripps Howard Texas Polls this year. Support for Perry and Sanchez has dropped by 5 percentage points each since the summer survey, corresponding with a 10-point increase in the undecided column.
Sanchez has gotten some news media attention, but the millionaire candidate has yet to launch a television advertising campaign.
The poll did not survey a matchup between Sanchez and his expected primary opponent, lawyer John WorldPeace of Houston.
A quarter of the respondents were Hispanic. Among that group, Sanchez held 31 percent support and Perry 25 percent. Perry held 57 percent support among Anglo voters.
Sanchez spokeswoman Michelle Kucera said the poll results are not surprising. She said people are not paying attention to politics and Sanchez has yet to advertise.
Perry spokeswoman Kathy Walt said the governor is pleased that he holds a lead in the race and that his job approval continues to climb. "It reflects that when the voters get to know him, the more they like him and agree with his agenda and vision for the state," Walt said.
In the contest for lieutenant governor, the poll found that Republican Land Commissioner David Dewhurst leads Democratic former Comptroller John Sharp 39 percent to 22 percent.
Neither has drawn significant primary opposition.
Sharp has done no advertising and has largely been out of the limelight since his narrow loss to Perry in the 1998 lieutenant governor's race. Dewhurst has spent almost $2 million on advertising since he launched his campaign in June.
The poll was conducted Nov. 2-26 by the Scripps Howard Data Center. The random survey of 1,000 adults had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The margin of error was higher in smaller samples, such as Hispanic voters.
Dewhurst said he was pleased with the poll. He said it shows "in these tough times Texans want proven conservative leadership."
Sharp spokesman Greg Hartman disputed the poll results, saying other polls done for Democrats and Republicans around Texas were showing Sharp either even or ahead of Dewhurst in regional areas. Hartman also said the poll's survey sample gave the Republicans an edge.
"This poll, which the pollster himself admits is oversampled with Republicans, does not reflect what other polls around the state are showing," Hartman said.
The poll sample comprised 36 percent self-identified Republicans and 25 percent Democrats with the rest saying they were independent or belonged to another political party.
Poll Director Ty Meighan said the survey is random and not set up to favor one party over another.
"For several years we have been polling more Republicans because the state has been trending Republican," Meighan said.
The Texas Poll did not survey a U.S. Senate contest between Attorney General John Cornyn, the expected GOP nominee, and any of his potential Democratic opponents.
But the poll found the Democratic primary contest is a total tossup with 55 percent undecided or unwilling to vote for any of the candidates.
Four candidates were clumped closely together in the Democratic primary, with former Attorney General Dan Morales at 12 percent; U.S. Rep. Ken Bentsen of Houston and former Dallas Mayor Ron Kirk holding 10 percent each; and 1996 Democratic Senate nominee Victor Morales at 8 percent. Sports lawyer Ed Cunningham held 5 percent support.
Sept. 4, 2001, 11:05PM
Democrat Sanchez starts bid for governor's office
By R.G. RATCLIFFE
Copyright 2001 Houston Chronicle Austin Bureau
In the general election, Perry would be the easy winner if it were held today, according to the Texas Poll.
Perry would defeat Sanchez 53 percent to 23 percent; Akins 52 percent to 19 percent; and WorldPeace 53 percent to 17 percent.
While Sanchez got support from 41 percent of the Hispanics surveyed, Perry got the support of 37 percent.
Polls conducted at this point in an election typically reveal mostly name identification. Perry as governor has received a great deal more media attention than the three Democrats.
The Texas Poll was conducted Aug. 9-28 by the Scripps Howard Data Center. Random interviews were done with 1,000 adult Texans. The general election survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, while the Democratic primary survey had a margin of error of 5.8 points.
Perry would win easily if vote for governor was today, poll says
Date May 9, 2001
Source Jack Douglas Jr.Star-Telegram Staff Writer
If the race for Texas governor was held today, the Republican incumbent would win hands down, according to a new political poll.
That is the good news for Gov. Rick Perry.
The bad news, say people who want him defeated, is that Election Day is more than 1 1/2 years away, with plenty of time for challengers to catch up.
Among those questioned at random in the Texas Poll, 56 percent said they would vote for Perry, and 15 percent said they would vote for Democratic Party candidate Marty Akins, if the race was narrowed to those two candidates. Twenty-eight percent could not answer the question or said they were undecided.
Akins is a former college football star and lawyer who runs his 750-acre ranch near Marble Falls.
Laredo businessman Tony Sanchez, who is considering joining the race as a Democrat, fared slightly better, with 17 percent of the respondents saying they would vote for him, to 55 percent for Perry, if they went head-to-head. Twenty-six percent were undecided or could not answer.
The poll, sponsored by the Scripps Howard Data Center, surveyed 1,000 adults between April 10 and May 1. Its margin of error was plus or minus 3 percentage points.
Akins said he plans to spend $8 million to $10 million in TV advertisements during next year's Democratic Party primary race. Once more people learn about him, he said, "you're going to see a huge turnaround; we're going to be on top of those [poll] numbers."
Kelly Fero, a spokesman for Sanchez, called Perry a "virtuoso of vulnerability," noting that the polls showed that 51 percent of the respondents said they thought the governor was doing an "excellent" or "good" job, while 21 percent rated his performance "only fair" and 3 percent said he was performing poorly. Twenty-five percent said they could not, or would not, comment on Perry's work as governor.
Gene Acuna, a spokesman for Perry's campaign, said that the governor is "gratified" by the support he is receiving, and that he is focused on the ongoing legislative session. "The time for politics is down the road," Acuna said.
Another announced Democratic candidate for governor, Houston attorney John WorldPeace, received the nod from 13 percent of the people polled, with 56 percent saying they would pick Perry in a two-candidate race.
WorldPeace said he changed his name, which was Kenneth Wolter, in 1988 after his marriage of 17 years ended. He said his campaign, which has been focused primarily in Houston, should be taken seriously. "If I'd been running my [campaign] dollars statewide, I'd already be ahead of Perry," WorldPeace said. He declined to say how much money he has raised for his campaign.
Jack Douglas Jr., (817) 390-7700 firstname.lastname@example.org